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How American Politics Ensures Electoral Accountability in Congress
Tuesday, October 15, 2024 | 7 p.m.
SUNY New Paltz, Lecture Center 100
Refreshments and meet and greet to follow the program.
An essential component of democracy is the ability to hold legislators accountable to their constituents via the threat of electoral defeat, a concept that has rarely been quantified directly. We formalize electoral accountability as the probability that the winner in an election to the US House of Representatives will be defeated if he or she runs in the next election. Well-known massive changes over time in indirect measures — such as incumbency advantage, electoral margins, partisan bias, partisan advantage, split-ticket voting, and others — all seem to imply wide swings in electoral accountability. In his talk, Dr. King will cover the probability of incumbent defeat with a novel generative statistical model.
Hear what our attendees have to say about the SUNY New Paltz Distinguished Speaker Series:
General admission is complimentary. A $10.00 donation is suggested to the SUNY New Paltz Foundation to support educational opportunities for our students. 
If you have special accessibility questions or require accommodations to fully participate in this event, please contact sandickl@newpaltz.edu as soon as possible to make appropriate accommodations.
Opportunities are available to recognize you or your business before and throughout the event. For information, contact sandickl@newpaltz.edu.
